Hi All,
Thanks for those who mentioned the quake in San Jose yesterday. According to the last NERVS update, it was accurate in its 10-day timeframe (depending on how you count), but came in at a lower magnitude (3.2).
That quake may be a small precursor to a larger event in California. Quakes in Hokkaido, Myanmar, Southern Iran and New Britain Region, P.N.G. yield the following NERVS update:
4.5 or greater magnitude quake in next 10 days:
- Primary vector: Northern California (including offshore), Southern California (including offshore), Central California
- Secondary vector: Nevada, Washington, Utah, Vancouver Island, Italy, Taiwan, Chile, Peru
- Also possible: Wyoming, Japan, Nicaragua, Bangladesh
***NEW***
NERVS Accuracy Check
The last NERVS update was validated by quakes in China (accurate)
…and partially by quakes in the following locations:
- the Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico (close to Cayman Islands)
- San Francisco Bay Area:
Magnitude 3.2
Date-Time Monday, November 10, 2008 at 11:56:25 AM at epicenter
Location 37.432°N, 121.776°W
Depth 8.8 km (5.5 miles)
Region SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIFORNIA
***NEWS***
Geologists try to make earthquake prep and response cool and chic. If you'll be in L.A. on November 13, you can be a part of it!
See the Wall Street Journal article:
Thanks to NERVS list member Joel Williamson for spotting this article
For those new to the list, NERVS stands for:
Numerical (or "non-scientific")
Earthquake
Risk
Vector
System
...and is based on prior California quakes being preceded by similar patterns of quakes in other areas.
Get an earthquake education from UC Berkeley for free! Available from iTunes U, "Earthquakes In Your Backyard" covers many interesting physical and social aspects of geologic science. Check out iTunes for more:
For preparedness and response information, see:
Earthquakes in the Bay Area may cause dam or soil failure. Are you at risk in a flood or liquefaction zone? Check and see:
Note: When you see the map, choose the Zoom In tool. Then just click and drag to magnify your area of interest.
What could happen in a typical office during a quake? See the simulation:
What would happen to homes if a 6.7 temblor occurred in the Bay Area? The Structural Engineering and Earthquake Simulation Laboratory (SEESL) provides these room-by-room videos of a 6.7 simulation:
Archived Test Videos
When is an uplifting experience a bad thing? When it's caused by bulging magma in the United States' largest volcano. If your travel plans are taking you to Yellowstone in the near future, first check the Yellowstone Volcano Observatory alerts and updates:
Just how large is the Yellowstone caldera? View the Google map provided by NERVS list member Caleb Tonn:
Thank you for participating in this experiment. Please reply by email to let me know if you'd like to add persons or be removed from this list.
Nate
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