The last NERVS update was accurate, with two quakes occurring California within the specified time period and magnitude. There was also a Bay Area quake within the right time frame but just slightly under the specified magnitude. Thanks to all who brought my attention to this quake.
More recent quakes in Myanmar, Iran, Taiwan and Chiapas, Mexico yield the following NERVS update:
4.5 or greater magnitude in next 10 days:
- Primary vector: Oregon, Washington, Northern California, Central California, Southern California (including Baja and the Gulf of California)
- Secondary vector: Nevada, Utah, Alaska Peninsula
- Also possible: British Columbia, Vancouver Island, Chile
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For those new to the list, NERVS stands for:
Numerical (or "non-scientific")
Earthquake
Risk
Vector
System
...and is based on prior California quakes being preceded by similar patterns of quakes in other areas.
Thank you for participating in this experiment. Please reply by email to let me know if you'd like to add persons or be removed from this list.
Nate
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Nate Myers
nmyers@apple.com 408-974-9207 Apple Inc.
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