Though outside the normal NERVS experiment protocol, the last NERVS
update was accurate, with two 7.0+ quakes occurring after the most
recent Macquarie Island quake: a 7.6 in the Kermadec Islands, and the
deadly 7.3 quake in Turkey last week.
Thanks to those who are now following the NERVSupdate Twitter feed.
The rapid response format allowed an accurate pattern recognition on
October 24, prior to the latest 4.8 Northern California quake on
October 26, as well as prior identification of heightened activity in
the Aleutian Islands.
Along with the Fox/Aleutian Island activity, quakes in Hindu Kush,
Xinjiang (China), Taiwan, Peru, Iran and a 4.7 in the Sunda Strait on
October 29, yield the following NERVS update:
4.5 or greater magnitude in next 15 days:
- Primary vector: Utah, Nevada, Wyoming, Southern California
(including Baja), Central California (including offshore), Northern
California (including offshore)
- Secondary vector: Washington, Oregon, western Canada
- Also possible: Eastern Russia, Bhutan, Myanmar, Italy; plus a 7.0+
quake based on Sunda Strait activity
-----
For those new to the list, NERVS stands for:
Numerical (or "non-scientific")
Earthquake
Risk
Vector
System
...and is based on prior California quakes being preceded by similar
patterns of quakes in other areas.
Twitter Feed
To subscribe, please follow: NERVSupdate
Thank you for participating in this experiment. Please reply by email
to let me know if you'd like to add persons or be removed from this
list.
Nate
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