Quakes in PNG, Vanuatu, the Kermadec Islands and Japan, along with recent activity in Pakistan, Mexico, Shanxi (China) and near the coast of South Australia are consistent with a NERVS pattern. The magnitudes are relatively low, suggesting that a related California quake may occur under the NERVS threshold of 4.0. However, a larger quake is possible, thus yielding the following NERVS update:
4.0 or greater magnitude in next 10 days:
- Primary vector: Southern California (including Baja and the Gulf of California), Northern California, Central California (near Paso Robles)
- Secondary vector: Greece, Iran, Taiwan, Myanmar, Chile, Peru, Turkey
- Also possible: Alaska, Washington, Oregon, Vancouver Island
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For those new to the list, NERVS stands for:
Numerical (or "non-scientific")
Earthquake
Risk
Vector
System
...and is based on prior California quakes being preceded by similar patterns of quakes in other areas.
Thank you for participating in this experiment. Please reply by email to let me know if you'd like to add persons or be removed from this list.
Nate
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