The last NERVS update was accurate, with several quakes occurring within the time and magnitude range in southern and Baja California from June 14 - 17. Another pattern developed shortly after, but I was unable to respond in time, and thus missed a 4.5 quake in Baja on June 25. That quake was preceded by a 4.9 in Oaxaca, Mexico.
A new NERVS pattern appears to be developing, including a 6.5 quake in Oaxaca that was reported by CNN this morning. That quake, along with quakes in New Ireland (PNG), Vanuatu, Tonga, Hindu Kush (Afghanistan), Chile, Peru, Taiwan and China yield the following NERVS update:
4.5 or greater magnitude in next 10 days:
- Primary vector: Oregon, Southern California (including Baja and the Gulf of California), Northern California, Central California
- Secondary vector: Greece, Iran, Turkey, Chile
- Also possible: Alaska, Washington, Vancouver Island
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For those new to the list, NERVS stands for:
Numerical (or "non-scientific")
Earthquake
Risk
Vector
System
...and is based on prior California quakes being preceded by similar patterns of quakes in other areas.
Thank you for participating in this experiment. Please reply by email to let me know if you'd like to add persons or be removed from this list.
Nate
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