NERVS update

Hi All, 

The last NERVS update was accurate, with a 5.4 quake occurring in Southern California within the date and magnitude range.

Earlier today, a 5.2 quake occurred in the Sunda Strait, which many of you know is of special interest, since quakes there tend to be followed by a large quake (7.0 or greater) within a short period of time (typically 10 days or fewer). Sunda Strait quakes are also almost always followed by a 4.5 or greater California quake as well. So that quake, along with quakes in Albania, Chile and the Western Indian-Antarctic Ridge, yield the following NERVS update:

4.5 or greater magnitude in next 10 days:

- Primary vector: Oregon, Northern California, Central California, Southern California (including Baja and the Gulf of California), Utah 

- Secondary vector: Taiwan, Mongolia, Myanmar, Alaska

- Also possible: Lake Tanganyika Region (Africa), Norway/Sweden

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For those new to the list, NERVS stands for:

Numerical (or "non-scientific")

Earthquake

Risk

Vector

System

...and is based on prior California quakes being preceded by similar patterns of quakes in other areas. 

Thank you for participating in this experiment. Please reply by email to let me know if you'd like to add persons or be removed from this list.

Nate