Fwd: NERVS update

Hi All, 

Latest NERVS update is enclosed. Sent yesterday, but may not have reached everyone on the list.

Thanks,

Nate

-----

Begin forwarded message:

From: Nate Myers <nmyers@apple.com>

Date: December 22, 2008 2:24:50 PM PST

To: Nate Myers <nmyers@apple.com>

Subject: NERVS update

Hi All, 

A low-magnitude NERVS pattern developed quickly over the last couple of days, and a 4.1 quake on Sunday night at the Pinnacles may have been the expected response. However, additional pattern quakes are continuing, including a 4.5 in Southern Iran, a 4.7 in Myanmar and 5.0 in Tonga, which yields the following NERVS update:

4.0 or greater magnitude quake in next 10 days:

- Primary vector: Alaska, Oregon, Southern California (including offshore, Baja and Gulf of California), Northern California (including offshore), Central California

- Secondary vector: Washington, Nevada, Utah, Vancouver Island, Taiwan, Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan, Siberia

- Also possible: Wyoming, Montana, Sicily

***NEW***

If you live in the Bay Area, don't miss the USGS simulation of a 6.8, 7.0 or 7.2 quake on the Hayward and Rodgers Creek faults. 

When you get to the page, click on the images to yield the animated versions. Also available in HD.

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/regional/nca/simulations/hayward/

Also…

Is unusual seismic activity responsible for undersea cables snapping in the Mediterranean? BBC reports:

18:52 GMT, Friday, 19 December 2008—Internet and phone communications between Europe, the Middle East, and Asia have been seriously disrupted after submarine cables were severed…the cause of the break is as yet unknown, although some seismic activity was reported near Malta shortly before the cut was detected…"We've lost three out of four lines. If the fourth cable breaks, we're looking at a total blackout in the Middle East," said Mr Wright…"Normally you would expect to see one major break per cable per year…For this to happen twice in one year, on the same cable, is a serious cause for concern."

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/technology/7792688.stm

NERVS Accuracy Check

Last Update

December 9, 2008 12:46:40 PM PST

4.5 or greater magnitude quake in next 10 days:

- Primary vector: Oregon, Northern California (incl. offshore), Southern California (incl.offshore), Central California, Turkey

- Secondary vector: Washington, Nevada, Utah, Vancouver Island, Taiwan, Chile, Peru, China, Greece

- Also possible: Wyoming, Montana, Myanmar, Lake Tanganyika, eastern Africa, England

- Based on the most recent 7.0, another large quake could occur anywhere, but potentially in Iran, Alaska or Japan

Not validated by any California quakes at or above the specified magnitude…

But validated overall by several quakes:

Region:                            XINJIANG-XIZANG BORDER REGION
Geographic coordinates:            35.235N,  81.409E
Magnitude:                        4.9 Mb

Universal Time (UTC):             11 Dec 2008  12:31:05

-----

Region:                            SOUTHERN GREECE
Geographic coordinates:            37.360N,  21.034E
Magnitude:                        4.5 Mb

Universal Time (UTC):             13 Dec 2008  08:27:20

-----

Region:                            LAKE TANGANYIKA REGION
Geographic coordinates:             7.457S,  30.151E
Magnitude:                        5.1 Mb
Universal Time (UTC):             14 Dec 2008  09:43:10
-----

Region:                            OFFSHORE COQUIMBO, CHILE
Geographic coordinates:            29.769S,  71.368W
Magnitude:                        4.9 Mb
Universal Time (UTC):             16 Dec 2008  22:05:26
-----

Region:                            OFFSHORE VALPARAISO, CHILE
Geographic coordinates:            32.416S,  71.532W
Magnitude:                        6.3 Mw
Universal Time (UTC):             18 Dec 2008  21:19:31

-----

Region:                            OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
Geographic coordinates:            36.603N, 142.356E
Magnitude:                        6.5 Mw
Universal Time (UTC):             20 Dec 2008  10:29:22

(At magnitude 6.5, this is not technically "another large quake" like a 7.0, and it is at the outer edge of the last NERVS update time envelope. However with the relatively low general magnitudes of late, and the press coverage given by the world media, I'm including this for consideration as validation at this time.)

-----

For those new to the list, NERVS stands for:

Numerical (or "non-scientific")

Earthquake

Risk

Vector

System

...and is based on prior California quakes being preceded by similar patterns of quakes in other areas. 

Get an earthquake education from UC Berkeley for free! Available from iTunes U, "Earthquakes In Your Backyard" covers many interesting physical and social aspects of geologic science. Check out iTunes for more:

http://deimos3.apple.com/WebObjects/Core.woa/Browse/berkeley.edu.1177911588

For preparedness and response information, see:

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/learning/preparedness.php

Earthquakes in the Bay Area may cause dam or soil failure. Are you at risk in a flood or liquefaction zone? Check and see:

http://www.abag.ca.gov/bayarea/eqmaps/eqfloods/floods.html

Note: When you see the map, choose the Zoom In tool. Then just click and drag to magnify your area of interest.

What could happen in a typical office during a quake? See the simulation:

http://seismo.berkeley.edu/~rallen/seishaz/prepare/office.php

What would happen to homes if a 6.7 temblor occurred in the Bay Area? The Structural Engineering and Earthquake Simulation Laboratory (SEESL) provides these room-by-room videos of a 6.7 simulation:

Archived Test Videos

http://nees.buffalo.edu/projects/NEESWood/video.asp

When is an uplifting experience a bad thing? When it's caused by bulging magma in the United States' largest volcano. If your travel plans are taking you to Yellowstone in the near future, first check the Yellowstone Volcano Observatory alerts and updates: 

http://volcanoes.usgs.gov/yvo/

Just how large is the Yellowstone caldera? View the Google map provided by NERVS list member Caleb Tonn:

http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?hl=en&gl=us&ptab=2&ie=UTF8&msa=0&msid=114896433391258936310.00043ec877e3a5d8328f8

Thank you for participating in this experiment. Please reply by email to let me know if you'd like to add persons or be removed from this list.

Nate

----

Nate Myers

nmyers@apple.com    408-974-9207    Apple Inc.

NERVS update

Hi All, 

From a date and time perspective, the most recent NERVS update is still in effect. However, recent quake activity yielded a 5.1 quake in Southern California, global activity seems to be increasing in both frequency and intensity, and several NERVS vectors seem to be showing higher-than-usual rates of repeat activity. Additionally, as I was preparing this message, a 7.0 occurred in the Kermadec islands, indicating the possibility of another large quake. As a result, the sum of these factors yields the following NERVS update:

4.5 or greater magnitude quake in next 10 days:

- Primary vector: Oregon, Northern California (incl. offshore), Southern California (incl.offshore), Central California, Turkey

- Secondary vector: Washington, Nevada, Utah, Vancouver Island, Taiwan, Chile, Peru, China, Greece

- Also possible: Wyoming, Montana, Myanmar, Lake Tanganyika, eastern Africa, England

- Based on the most recent 7.0, another large quake could occur anywhere, but potentially in Iran, Alaska or Japan

***UPGRADED*** 

NERVS Accuracy Check

Last Update

4.5 or greater magnitude quake in next 10 days:

- Primary vector: Northern California (including offshore), Southern California (including offshore), Central California

- Secondary vector: Oregon, Washington, Nevada, Utah, Vancouver Island, Taiwan, Peru, Kamchatka Peninsula, Greece

- Also possible: Wyoming, Montana, Puerto Rico, eastern Africa, England

Validated by the following California quake…

Region:                            SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
Geographic coordinates:            34.814N, 116.420W
Magnitude:                        5.1 Mw
Depth:                            5 km
Universal Time (UTC):              6 Dec 2008  04:18:42
Time near the Epicenter:           5 Dec 2008  20:18:42
Local standard time in your area:  5 Dec 2008  20:18:42

…and by several additional quakes:

Region:                            TAIWAN
Geographic coordinates:            23.304N, 121.580E
Magnitude:                        5.2 Mb

-----

Region:                            NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA
Geographic coordinates:            53.123N, 159.510E
Magnitude:                        5.1 Mb

-----

Region:                            SOUTHERN GREECE
Geographic coordinates:            37.360N,  21.034E
Magnitude:                        4.5 Mb

For those new to the list, NERVS stands for:

Numerical (or "non-scientific")

Earthquake

Risk

Vector

System

...and is based on prior California quakes being preceded by similar patterns of quakes in other areas. 

Get an earthquake education from UC Berkeley for free! Available from iTunes U, "Earthquakes In Your Backyard" covers many interesting physical and social aspects of geologic science. Check out iTunes for more:

http://deimos3.apple.com/WebObjects/Core.woa/Browse/berkeley.edu.1177911588

For preparedness and response information, see:

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/learning/preparedness.php

Earthquakes in the Bay Area may cause dam or soil failure. Are you at risk in a flood or liquefaction zone? Check and see:

http://www.abag.ca.gov/bayarea/eqmaps/eqfloods/floods.html

Note: When you see the map, choose the Zoom In tool. Then just click and drag to magnify your area of interest.

What could happen in a typical office during a quake? See the simulation:

http://seismo.berkeley.edu/~rallen/seishaz/prepare/office.php

What would happen to homes if a 6.7 temblor occurred in the Bay Area? The Structural Engineering and Earthquake Simulation Laboratory (SEESL) provides these room-by-room videos of a 6.7 simulation:

Archived Test Videos

http://nees.buffalo.edu/projects/NEESWood/video.asp

When is an uplifting experience a bad thing? When it's caused by bulging magma in the United States' largest volcano. If your travel plans are taking you to Yellowstone in the near future, first check the Yellowstone Volcano Observatory alerts and updates: 

http://volcanoes.usgs.gov/yvo/

Just how large is the Yellowstone caldera? View the Google map provided by NERVS list member Caleb Tonn:

http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?hl=en&gl=us&ptab=2&ie=UTF8&msa=0&msid=114896433391258936310.00043ec877e3a5d8328f8

Thank you for participating in this experiment. Please reply by email to let me know if you'd like to add persons or be removed from this list.

Nate

NERVS update

Hi All, 

A 5.8 quake occurred in Northern California on 11/28, which was outside the bounds of the last NERVS update. However, quakes since that time in Japan, Fiji, Myanmar, Afghanistan, Iran and Chile suggest another possible California quake, which yields the following NERVS update:

4.5 or greater magnitude quake in next 10 days:

- Primary vector: Northern California (including offshore), Southern California (including offshore), Central California

- Secondary vector: Oregon, Washington, Nevada, Utah, Vancouver Island, Taiwan, Peru, Kamchatka Peninsula, Greece

- Also possible: Wyoming, Montana, Puerto Rico, eastern Africa, England

***NEW*** 

NERVS Accuracy Check

The last NERVS update was validated by quakes in Southern California, which includes Baja:

Region:                            BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO
Geographic coordinates:            32.387N, 115.320W
Magnitude:                        5.0 Ml
Depth:                            37 km
Universal Time (UTC):             20 Nov 2008  19:23:01
Time near the Epicenter:          20 Nov 2008  11:23:01
Local standard time in your area: 20 Nov 2008  11:23:01

For those new to the list, NERVS stands for:

Numerical (or "non-scientific")

Earthquake

Risk

Vector

System

...and is based on prior California quakes being preceded by similar patterns of quakes in other areas. 

Get an earthquake education from UC Berkeley for free! Available from iTunes U, "Earthquakes In Your Backyard" covers many interesting physical and social aspects of geologic science. Check out iTunes for more:

http://deimos3.apple.com/WebObjects/Core.woa/Browse/berkeley.edu.1177911588

For preparedness and response information, see:

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/learning/preparedness.php

Earthquakes in the Bay Area may cause dam or soil failure. Are you at risk in a flood or liquefaction zone? Check and see:

http://www.abag.ca.gov/bayarea/eqmaps/eqfloods/floods.html

Note: When you see the map, choose the Zoom In tool. Then just click and drag to magnify your area of interest.

What could happen in a typical office during a quake? See the simulation:

http://seismo.berkeley.edu/~rallen/seishaz/prepare/office.php

What would happen to homes if a 6.7 temblor occurred in the Bay Area? The Structural Engineering and Earthquake Simulation Laboratory (SEESL) provides these room-by-room videos of a 6.7 simulation:

Archived Test Videos

http://nees.buffalo.edu/projects/NEESWood/video.asp

When is an uplifting experience a bad thing? When it's caused by bulging magma in the United States' largest volcano. If your travel plans are taking you to Yellowstone in the near future, first check the Yellowstone Volcano Observatory alerts and updates: 

http://volcanoes.usgs.gov/yvo/

Just how large is the Yellowstone caldera? View the Google map provided by NERVS list member Caleb Tonn:

http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?hl=en&gl=us&ptab=2&ie=UTF8&msa=0&msid=114896433391258936310.00043ec877e3a5d8328f8

Thank you for participating in this experiment. Please reply by email to let me know if you'd like to add persons or be removed from this list.

Nate

NERVS update

Hi All, 

Thanks for those who mentioned the quake in San Jose yesterday. According to the last NERVS update, it was accurate in its 10-day timeframe (depending on how you count), but came in at a lower magnitude (3.2). 

That quake may be a small precursor to a larger event in California. Quakes in Hokkaido, Myanmar, Southern Iran and New Britain Region, P.N.G. yield the following NERVS update:

4.5 or greater magnitude quake in next 10 days:

- Primary vector: Northern California (including offshore), Southern California (including offshore), Central California

- Secondary vector: Nevada, Washington, Utah, Vancouver Island, Italy, Taiwan, Chile, Peru

- Also possible: Wyoming, Japan, Nicaragua, Bangladesh

***NEW*** 

NERVS Accuracy Check

The last NERVS update was validated by quakes in China (accurate)

…and partially by quakes in the following locations:

- the Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico (close to Cayman Islands)

- San Francisco Bay Area:

Magnitude 3.2

Date-Time Monday, November 10, 2008 at 11:56:25 AM at epicenter

Location 37.432°N, 121.776°W

Depth 8.8 km (5.5 miles)

Region SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIFORNIA

***NEWS***

Geologists try to make earthquake prep and response cool and chic. If you'll be in L.A. on November 13, you can be a part of it!

See the Wall Street Journal article: 

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122636562301015905.html

Thanks to NERVS list member Joel Williamson for spotting this article

For those new to the list, NERVS stands for:

Numerical (or "non-scientific")

Earthquake

Risk

Vector

System

...and is based on prior California quakes being preceded by similar patterns of quakes in other areas. 

Get an earthquake education from UC Berkeley for free! Available from iTunes U, "Earthquakes In Your Backyard" covers many interesting physical and social aspects of geologic science. Check out iTunes for more:

http://deimos3.apple.com/WebObjects/Core.woa/Browse/berkeley.edu.1177911588

For preparedness and response information, see:

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/learning/preparedness.php

Earthquakes in the Bay Area may cause dam or soil failure. Are you at risk in a flood or liquefaction zone? Check and see:

http://www.abag.ca.gov/bayarea/eqmaps/eqfloods/floods.html

Note: When you see the map, choose the Zoom In tool. Then just click and drag to magnify your area of interest.

What could happen in a typical office during a quake? See the simulation:

http://seismo.berkeley.edu/~rallen/seishaz/prepare/office.php

What would happen to homes if a 6.7 temblor occurred in the Bay Area? The Structural Engineering and Earthquake Simulation Laboratory (SEESL) provides these room-by-room videos of a 6.7 simulation:

Archived Test Videos

http://nees.buffalo.edu/projects/NEESWood/video.asp

When is an uplifting experience a bad thing? When it's caused by bulging magma in the United States' largest volcano. If your travel plans are taking you to Yellowstone in the near future, first check the Yellowstone Volcano Observatory alerts and updates: 

http://volcanoes.usgs.gov/yvo/

Just how large is the Yellowstone caldera? View the Google map provided by NERVS list member Caleb Tonn:

http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?hl=en&gl=us&ptab=2&ie=UTF8&msa=0&msid=114896433391258936310.00043ec877e3a5d8328f8

Thank you for participating in this experiment. Please reply by email to let me know if you'd like to add persons or be removed from this list.

Nate

----

Nate Myers

nmyers@apple.com    408-974-9207    Apple Inc.

NERVS update

Hi All, 

Quakes have been increasing in frequency and intensity over the past several days, forming a consistent NERVS pattern. Activity in Pakistan, Afghanistan, Alaska and Papua New Guinea yield the following NERVS update:

4.5 or greater magnitude quake in next 10 days:

- Primary vector: Central California, Northern California (including offshore), Southern California (including offshore)

- Secondary vector: Nevada, Washington, Utah, Vancouver Island, Taiwan, Myanmar, Tokyo, China

- Also possible: Virginia, Cayman Islands, Missouri, Mexico

***NEW*** 

NERVS Accuracy Check

The last NERVS update was validated by the following quake:

Region:                            OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
Geographic coordinates:            40.322N, 124.637W
Magnitude:                        5.1 Mw
Depth:                            18 km
Universal Time (UTC):             26 Oct 2008  09:26:50
Time near the Epicenter:          26 Oct 2008  02:26:50
Local standard time in your area: 26 Oct 2008  01:26:50

For those new to the list, NERVS stands for:

Numerical (or "non-scientific")

Earthquake

Risk

Vector

System

...and is based on prior California quakes being preceded by similar patterns of quakes in other areas. 

Get an earthquake education from UC Berkeley for free! Available from iTunes U, "Earthquakes In Your Backyard" covers many interesting physical and social aspects of geologic science. Check out iTunes for more:

http://deimos3.apple.com/WebObjects/Core.woa/Browse/berkeley.edu.1177911588

When is an uplifting experience a bad thing? When it's caused by bulging magma in the United States' largest volcano. If your travel plans are taking you to Yellowstone in the near future, first check the Yellowstone Volcano Observatory alerts and updates: 

http://volcanoes.usgs.gov/yvo/

Just how large is the Yellowstone caldera? View the Google map provided by NERVS list member Caleb Tonn:

http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?hl=en&gl=us&ptab=2&ie=UTF8&msa=0&msid=114896433391258936310.00043ec877e3a5d8328f8

For preparedness and response information, see:

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/learning/preparedness.php

Earthquakes in the Bay Area may cause dam or soil failure. Are you at risk in a flood or liquefaction zone? Check and see:

http://www.abag.ca.gov/bayarea/eqmaps/eqfloods/floods.html

Note: When you see the map, choose the Zoom In tool. Then just click and drag to magnify your area of interest.

What could happen in a typical office during a quake? See the simulation:

http://seismo.berkeley.edu/~rallen/seishaz/prepare/office.php

What would happen to homes if a 6.7 temblor occurred in the Bay Area? The Structural Engineering and Earthquake Simulation Laboratory (SEESL) provides these room-by-room videos of a 6.7 simulation:

Archived Test Videos

http://nees.buffalo.edu/projects/NEESWood/video.asp

Thank you for participating in this experiment. Please reply by email to let me know if you'd like to add persons or be removed from this list.

Nate

----

Nate Myers

nmyers@apple.com    408-974-9207    Apple Inc.

NERVS update

Hi All,

A 6.5 quake near Chiapas, Mexico plus increasing activity in other
precursor locations yields the following NERVS update:

4.0 or greater in the next 10 days.
Primary vectors: Southern California (including Baja), Northern
California (including offshore), Oregon

Secondary vectors: Central California (including offshore),
Washington, Vancouver Island, Nevada, Utah

Also possible: Montana, Wyoming, Yukon area, Chile, Missouri, Taiwan

Nate

Sent from my iPhone

NERVS update

Hi All, 

Two parts to this NERVS update:

1. Quakes have been forming a consistent NERVS pattern in the past several days, including activity in the Sunda Strait, which frequently precedes a large quake or series of quakes around the globe. In addition, quakes in Iran, Taiwan and Chile yield the following NERVS update:

4.5 or greater magnitude quake in next 5 days:

- Primary vector: Central California, Northern California, Southern California

- Secondary vector: Nevada, Washington, Utah, Vancouver Island

- Also possible: Virginia, Cayman Islands, Africa, Alaska

2. Some have wondered whether the last NERVS update included the recent 4.0 quake in the North Bay. The last update ended on September 1, and the quake occurred on September 6. Some of the other possible vectors in the last update did happen within the date range, which indicated a possible run-up to a Bay Area quake. Unfortunately, I saw a possible pattern developing late Friday afternoon but wasn't in a position to send an update.

For those new to the list, NERVS stands for:

Numerical (or "non-scientific")

Earthquake

Risk

Vector

System

...and is based on prior California quakes being preceded by similar patterns of quakes in other areas. 

Get an earthquake education from UC Berkeley for free! Available from iTunes U, "Earthquakes In Your Backyard" covers many interesting physical and social aspects of geologic science. Check out iTunes for more:

http://deimos3.apple.com/WebObjects/Core.woa/Browse/berkeley.edu.1177911588

When is an uplifting experience a bad thing? When it's caused by bulging magma in the United States' largest volcano. If your travel plans are taking you to Yellowstone in the near future, first check the Yellowstone Volcano Observatory alerts and updates: 

http://volcanoes.usgs.gov/yvo/

Just how large is the Yellowstone caldera? View the Google map provided by NERVS list member Caleb Tonn:

http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?hl=en&gl=us&ptab=2&ie=UTF8&msa=0&msid=114896433391258936310.00043ec877e3a5d8328f8

For preparedness and response information, see:

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/learning/preparedness.php

Earthquakes in the Bay Area may cause dam or soil failure. Are you at risk in a flood or liquefaction zone? Check and see:

http://www.abag.ca.gov/bayarea/eqmaps/eqfloods/floods.html

Note: When you see the map, choose the Zoom In tool. Then just click and drag to magnify your area of interest.

What could happen in a typical office during a quake? See the simulation:

http://seismo.berkeley.edu/~rallen/seishaz/prepare/office.php

What would happen to homes if a 6.7 temblor occurred in the Bay Area? The Structural Engineering and Earthquake Simulation Laboratory (SEESL) provides these room-by-room videos of a 6.7 simulation:

Archived Test Videos

http://nees.buffalo.edu/projects/NEESWood/video.asp

Thank you for participating in this experiment. Please reply by email to let me know if you'd like to add persons or be removed from this list.

Nate

----

Nate Myers

nmyers@apple.com    408-974-9207    Apple Inc.

NERVS update

Hi All, 

Quakes in Iceland, Myanmar and Tonga yield the following NERVS update:

4.5 or greater magnitude quake in next 10 days:

- Primary vector: Northern California, Central California, Southern California

- Secondary vector: Nevada, Washington, Utah, Iran, Italy

- Also possible: Albania, Turkey, Greece, Tennessee

For those new to the list, NERVS stands for:

Numerical (or "non-scientific")

Earthquake

Risk

Vector

System

...and is based on prior California quakes being preceded by similar patterns of quakes in other areas. 

Get an earthquake education from UC Berkeley for free! Available from iTunes U, "Earthquakes In Your Backyard" covers many interesting physical and social aspects of geologic science. Check out iTunes for more:

http://deimos3.apple.com/WebObjects/Core.woa/Browse/berkeley.edu.1177911588

When is an uplifting experience a bad thing? When it's caused by bulging magma in the United States' largest volcano. If your travel plans are taking you to Yellowstone in the near future, first check the Yellowstone Volcano Observatory alerts and updates: 

http://volcanoes.usgs.gov/yvo/

Just how large is the Yellowstone caldera? View the Google map provided by NERVS list member Caleb Tonn:

http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?hl=en&gl=us&ptab=2&ie=UTF8&msa=0&msid=114896433391258936310.00043ec877e3a5d8328f8

For preparedness and response information, see:

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/learning/preparedness.php

Earthquakes in the Bay Area may cause dam or soil failure. Are you at risk in a flood or liquefaction zone? Check and see:

http://www.abag.ca.gov/bayarea/eqmaps/eqfloods/floods.html

Note: When you see the map, choose the Zoom In tool. Then just click and drag to magnify your area of interest.

What could happen in a typical office during a quake? See the simulation:

http://seismo.berkeley.edu/~rallen/seishaz/prepare/office.php

What would happen to homes if a 6.7 temblor occurred in the Bay Area? The Structural Engineering and Earthquake Simulation Laboratory (SEESL) provides these room-by-room videos of a 6.7 simulation:

Archived Test Videos

http://nees.buffalo.edu/projects/NEESWood/video.asp

Thank you for participating in this experiment. Please reply by email to let me know if you'd like to add persons or be removed from this list.

Nate

----

Nate Myers

nmyers@apple.com    408-974-9207    Apple Inc.

NERVS update

Hi All, 

Quakes in most risk vectors, including Crete and the Banda sea, yield the following NERVS update:

4.5 or greater magnitude quake in next 10 days:

- Primary vector: Northern California, Central California (Bay Area to Santa Maria, including offshore), Southern California (upper LA region)

- Secondary vector: Nevada (Reno area), Washington, Utah, Vancouver Island region

- Also possible: China, Myanmar, Iceland

For those new to the list, NERVS stands for:

Numerical (or "non-scientific")

Earthquake

Risk

Vector

System

...and is based on prior California quakes being preceded by similar patterns of quakes in other areas. 

Get an earthquake education from UC Berkeley for free! Available from iTunes U, "Earthquakes In Your Backyard" covers many interesting physical and social aspects of geologic science. Check out iTunes for more:

http://deimos3.apple.com/WebObjects/Core.woa/Browse/berkeley.edu.1177911588

When is an uplifting experience a bad thing? When it's caused by bulging magma in the United States' largest volcano. If your travel plans are taking you to Yellowstone in the near future, first check the Yellowstone Volcano Observatory alerts and updates: 

http://volcanoes.usgs.gov/yvo/

Just how large is the Yellowstone caldera? View the Google map provided by NERVS list member Caleb Tonn:

http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?hl=en&gl=us&ptab=2&ie=UTF8&msa=0&msid=114896433391258936310.00043ec877e3a5d8328f8

For preparedness and response information, see:

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/learning/preparedness.php

Earthquakes in the Bay Area may cause dam or soil failure. Are you at risk in a flood or liquefaction zone? Check and see:

http://www.abag.ca.gov/bayarea/eqmaps/eqfloods/floods.html

Note: When you see the map, choose the Zoom In tool. Then just click and drag to magnify your area of interest.

What could happen in a typical office during a quake? See the simulation:

http://seismo.berkeley.edu/~rallen/seishaz/prepare/office.php

What would happen to homes if a 6.7 temblor occurred in the Bay Area? The Structural Engineering and Earthquake Simulation Laboratory (SEESL) provides these room-by-room videos of a 6.7 simulation:

Archived Test Videos

http://nees.buffalo.edu/projects/NEESWood/video.asp

Thank you for participating in this experiment. Please reply by email to let me know if you'd like to add persons or be removed from this list.

Nate

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Nate Myers

nmyers@apple.com    408-974-9207    Apple Inc.