Quakes have been increasing in frequency and intensity over the past several days, forming a consistent NERVS pattern. Activity in Pakistan, Afghanistan, Alaska and Papua New Guinea yield the following NERVS update:
4.5 or greater magnitude quake in next 10 days:
- Primary vector: Central California, Northern California (including offshore), Southern California (including offshore)
- Secondary vector: Nevada, Washington, Utah, Vancouver Island, Taiwan, Myanmar, Tokyo, China
- Also possible: Virginia, Cayman Islands, Missouri, Mexico
***NEW***
NERVS Accuracy Check
The last NERVS update was validated by the following quake:
Region: OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
Geographic coordinates: 40.322N, 124.637W
Magnitude: 5.1 Mw
Depth: 18 km
Universal Time (UTC): 26 Oct 2008 09:26:50
Time near the Epicenter: 26 Oct 2008 02:26:50
Local standard time in your area: 26 Oct 2008 01:26:50
Geographic coordinates: 40.322N, 124.637W
Magnitude: 5.1 Mw
Depth: 18 km
Universal Time (UTC): 26 Oct 2008 09:26:50
Time near the Epicenter: 26 Oct 2008 02:26:50
Local standard time in your area: 26 Oct 2008 01:26:50
For those new to the list, NERVS stands for:
Numerical (or "non-scientific")
Earthquake
Risk
Vector
System
...and is based on prior California quakes being preceded by similar patterns of quakes in other areas.
Get an earthquake education from UC Berkeley for free! Available from iTunes U, "Earthquakes In Your Backyard" covers many interesting physical and social aspects of geologic science. Check out iTunes for more:
When is an uplifting experience a bad thing? When it's caused by bulging magma in the United States' largest volcano. If your travel plans are taking you to Yellowstone in the near future, first check the Yellowstone Volcano Observatory alerts and updates:
Just how large is the Yellowstone caldera? View the Google map provided by NERVS list member Caleb Tonn:
For preparedness and response information, see:
Earthquakes in the Bay Area may cause dam or soil failure. Are you at risk in a flood or liquefaction zone? Check and see:
Note: When you see the map, choose the Zoom In tool. Then just click and drag to magnify your area of interest.
What could happen in a typical office during a quake? See the simulation:
What would happen to homes if a 6.7 temblor occurred in the Bay Area? The Structural Engineering and Earthquake Simulation Laboratory (SEESL) provides these room-by-room videos of a 6.7 simulation:
Archived Test Videos
Thank you for participating in this experiment. Please reply by email to let me know if you'd like to add persons or be removed from this list.
Nate
