Wednesday, May 15, 2013

NERVS update

Hi All, 

Quakes in Southern Iran, Tonga, the Northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge, near the east coast of Kamchatka, Papua, New Guinea, Western Xizang, the Fox/Aleutian Islands, and a 7.0 quake on May 13 in the Pagan Region (Northern Mariana Islands) yield the following NERVS update:

4.5 or greater magnitude in next 10 days:
- Primary vector: Central California (including offshore), Southern California (including Baja and offshore), Northern California (including offshore)
- Secondary vector: Oklahoma, Arizona, New Mexico, Utah, Nevada, Oregon, Washington
- Also possible: Northern Yukon Territory, Macquarie Island, Western Mongolia, Nepal


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For those new to the list, NERVS stands for:
Numerical (or "non-scientific")
Earthquake
Risk
Vector
System
...and is based on prior California quakes being preceded by similar patterns of quakes in other areas.


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Nate


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Nate Myers
nmyers@apple.com    408-974-9207    Apple Inc.