Since the last NERVS update, three additional patterns have developed, all of which resulted in California quakes, and all of which I missed based on my schedule. With our recent remodeling work (mostly) out of the way, I'm able to respond to this developing pattern. Quakes in Myanmar, Iran, Japan, west of Macquarie Island and a 6.9 in PNG yield the following NERVS update:
4.5 or greater magnitude in next 10 days:
- Primary vector: Oregon, Northern California, Central California, Southern California (including Baja and the Gulf of California),
- Secondary vector: Taiwan, China, Peru, Vancouver Island
- Also possible: Western or Central Australia, British Columbia
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For those new to the list, NERVS stands for:
Numerical (or "non-scientific")
Earthquake
Risk
Vector
System
...and is based on prior California quakes being preceded by similar patterns of quakes in other areas.
Thank you for participating in this experiment. Please reply by email to let me know if you'd like to add persons or be removed from this list.
Nate
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Nate Myers
nmyers@apple.com 408-974-9207 Apple Inc.
