Saturday, November 21, 2009

NERVS update

Hi All, 

Abbreviated NERVS update:

4.5 or greater magnitude quake in next 10 days:
- Primary vector: Southern California, Northern California, Central California, Oregon, Washington, Alaska (potentially large in AK)
- Secondary vector: Myanmar, Siberia, Japan (potentially large in Japan), China, Taiwan
- Also possible: Italy, Western Turkey, Iran, Kazakhstan, Kentucky


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NERVS Accuracy Check

Last NERVS update may have been validated. However, three additional California vector quakes occurred within the last week before I could send an update. Details to come at a later time.


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For those new to the list, NERVS stands for:
Numerical (or "non-scientific")
Earthquake
Risk
Vector
System
...and is based on prior California quakes being preceded by similar patterns of quakes in other areas. 




Thank you for participating in this experiment. Please reply by email to let me know if you'd like to add persons or be removed from this list.

Nate

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Nate Myers
nmyers@apple.com    408-974-9207    Apple Inc.