The last NERVS update was accurate, with a 4.5 quake occurring in Central California within the right timeframe and magnitude. Also of interest was a 4.7 magnitude quake in Romania, which was included in the last update as a possible quake location.
Recent activity in Taiwan, the Aleutian Islands, the Svalbard region, Guerrero (Mexico), Sichuan (China), Antofagasta (Chile) and Myanmar suggest a new NERVS pattern may be forming. That activity thus yields the following NERVS update:
4.0 or greater magnitude in next 10 days:
- Primary vector: Baja California, Northern California (including offshore), Southern California, Central California (including offshore), Oregon, Vancouver Island, Washington
- Secondary vector: Alaska (increased activity in the Aleutian Islands or Central), Nevada, Utah, Western Canada
- Also possible: Iran, Turkey, Italy, Greece, Turkmenistan, Tajikistan
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For those new to the list, NERVS stands for:
Numerical (or "non-scientific")
Earthquake
Risk
Vector
System
...and is based on prior California quakes being preceded by similar patterns of quakes in other areas.
Thank you for participating in this experiment. Please reply by email to let me know if you'd like to add persons or be removed from this list.
Nate
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Nate Myers
nmyers@apple.com 408-974-9207 Apple Inc.
