Wednesday, April 3, 2013

NERVS update

Hi All, 

The last several California quakes, including a 5.1 off the coast of Northern California on 30 March 2013, were preceded by NERVS update tweets, but not a formal NERVS update message. However, a frequent pattern has been developing over the last few days (including quakes in Taiwan, Guatemala and Oaxaca). Additionally, recent quakes in the Caucasus Region, Pacific-Antarctic Ridge, Mid-Indian Ridge, Mindanao, Honshu, and a 5.4 in Burma (Myanmar) yield the following NERVS update:

4.5 or greater magnitude in next 15 days:
- Primary vector: Northern California (including offshore), Central California (including offshore), Southern California (including Baja and offshore)
- Secondary vector: Western Canada, Washington, Oregon, Nevada
- Also possible: Vanuatu, Sunda Strait


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For those new to the list, NERVS stands for:
Numerical (or "non-scientific")
Earthquake
Risk
Vector
System
...and is based on prior California quakes being preceded by similar patterns of quakes in other areas.



Thank you for participating in this experiment. Please reply by email to let me know if you'd like to add persons or be removed from this list.

Nate


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Nate Myers
nmyers@apple.com    408-974-9207    Apple Inc.